Spatio-temporal patterns of suicide: an ecological study

Abstract

Aim: to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of mortality by suicide in residents of the state of Pernambuco from 1996 to 2015, using spatial analysis and statistical techniques. Methods: it is an ecological study that will have the municipalities as units of analysis. The data source will consist of the suicides recorded in the Mortality Information System, from 1996 to 2015. The temporal trend will be analyzed by the simple linear regression technique. From the gross coefficients of suicide mortality, the Local Empirical Bayesian method will be applied to correct random fluctuations of the indicator. The Moran Global and Local Indices will be adopted to indicate the existence of correlation and spatial clusters in the territory. Expected results: to identify temporal changes in suicide mortality in the period studied and to locate possible spatial clusters that may represent priority areas for the planning of interventions and health actions.